INTERGROUP CONSENSUS OF OPINIONS OF INTERNATIONAL EXPERTS IN THE CHOICE OF IMPLEMENTATION OF INNOVATIVE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES

Abstract

The article examines the methodology of conducting intergroup consensus of the opinions of international experts in the selection and implementation of innovative energy technologies. The importance and relevance of the application of this technique for the introduction of innovations in the energy system of Ukraine is substantiated. Methods are listed thanks to which it is possible to calculate the level of agreement of the opinions of experts, including a group of international experts regarding the feasibility of implementing innovative energy technologies (one-factor variance analysis, calculation of coefficients such as Kendall's concordance coefficient and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient). The importance of conducting a one-factor variance analysis for obtaining the results of intergroup consistency of the opinions of international experts is substantiated, and a detailed description of all stages of its implementation is carried out with the presentation of formulas for calculating indicators. It was established that all stages of variance analysis for calculating the intergroup consistency of experts' opinions should be carried out sequentially, namely: 1st stage – determination of dependent and non-dependent variables; 2nd stage – expansion of the unfolded full variance; 3rd stage – measurement of effects; 4th stage – significance check 5th stage – interpretation of the obtained evaluation results. In contrast to existing studies, the scientific and practical value of the study is the consideration of the work of a team of international experts, i.e. consensus of experts' opinions can be achieved even when experts work in teams, for example, the first team of international experts is scientists; the second team – managers; the third is entrepreneurs. The work provides the parameters and technical characteristics of innovative power plants thanks to which experts can evaluate power plants (technologies) regarding the feasibility and importance of their implementation. It is proposed to regularly improve the system of selection of international experts and to improve the methods of intergroup agreement of opinions in order to achieve the efficiency and effectiveness of the work of international experts and the reliability of expert evaluations.