WEB-BASED INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR IT PROJECT RISK ASSESSMENT BASED ON EXPERT METHODS

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35546/kntu2078-4481.2026.2.47

Keywords:

IT project, risk, expert approach, evaluation, mathematical modeling, project management, risk management, information system

Abstract

The study is devoted to the development of a web-based information system for IT project risk assessment, which provides comprehensive support for the processes of identification, analysis, and response to threats. The system automates expert assessment procedures by transforming fuzzy linguistic judgments into strict quantitative indicators using visual interactive scales. The developed functionality (project registry management, threat classifier, and analytical reporting) increases the efficiency of risk management and enables proactive management of factors that critically affect the project's budget, schedule, and quality. The web system is built on a client-server architecture based on the MVC pattern. The server part is implemented in PHP using the Laravel framework, while dynamic interaction and reactive interface updates are provided by integrating Livewire technology and the Blade templating engine. This solution optimizes the assessment process through the asynchronous saving of metrics in the background, minimizing the cognitive load on experts. The system is based on an adapted mathematical model that aggregates indicators of the probability and destructive impact of threats using specialized heat matrices. Focusing exclusively on negative risks and calculating their integral indicators form an objective basis for task prioritization. The combination of an expert approach with mathematical analysis makes it possible to compensate for the lack of historical data and take into account the non-formalized factors of the IT industry's organizational environment. Functional testing confirmed the absolute algorithmic accuracy of the web system: a comparison of automated and reference manual calculations revealed no deviations. This confirms the complete elimination of the human factor at the stage of mathematical data processing. In addition, the built-in visualization toolkit (risk matrix and target faceted diagrams) has proven its high efficiency in the visual identification of the most problematic aspects of the project

References

Pimchangthong Pimchangthong D., Boonjing V. Effects of Risk Management Practice on the Success of IT Project. Procedia Engineering. 2017. Vol. 182. P. 579–586. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2017.03.158

Hrytsiuk Y. I., Zhabych M. R. RISK MANAGEMENT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF PROGRAM PROJECTS. Scientific Bulletin of UNFU. 2018. Т. 28, № 1. С. 150–162. URL: https://doi.org/10.15421/40280130

Eldash K. PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT. 2012. 173 p. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/271909639_PROJECT_RISK_MANAGEMENT_COURSE_NOTES

The role of data analytics within operational risk management: A systematic review from the financial services and energy sectors / N. Cornwell et al. Journal of the Operational Research Society. 2022. P. 1–29. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2022.2041373

Crespo Márquez A., Crespo Del Castillo A., Gómez Fernández J. F. Integrating artificial intelligent techniques and continuous time simulation modelling. Practical predictive analytics for energy efficiency and failure detection. Computers in Industry. 2020. Vol. 115. P. 103164. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2019.103164

Mazumder R. K., Salman A. M., Li Y. Failure risk analysis of pipelines using data-driven machine learning algorithms. Structural Safety. 2021. Vol. 89. P. 102047. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2020.102047

A Data-Driven Artificial Neural Network Approach to Software Project Risk Assessment / M. N. Alatawi et al. IET Software. 2023. Vol. 2023. P. 1–19. URL: https://doi.org/10.1049/2023/4324783

McNeil A. J. Extreme Value Theory for Risk Managers. 1999. P. 1–22. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/2470539_Extreme_Value_Theory_for_Risk_Managers

Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA). NRC Web. URL: https://www.nrc.gov/about-nrc/regulatory/risk-informed/pra.html

Каверіна Н. О. Науково-методичні підходи до аналізу та оцінки ризиків інноваційної діяльності. ScienceRise. 2014. Т. 5, № 3. С. 74. URL: https://doi.org/10.15587/2313-8416.2014.34799

Грабіна К. В. Моделі та методи інформаційної технології управління ризиками в ІТ-проєктах : дис. …канд. техн. наук : 122. Суми, 2024. 185 с. URL: https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/bitstream-download/123456789/97100/1/Hrabina_K_PhD_thesis.pdf

Published

2026-05-07